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Where Is the Predicted AI Intelligence Explosion?
Original: Where's the "Intelligence Explosion"?
Economist Noah Smith asks why the much-discussed 'intelligence explosion' — the idea that AI will rapidly improve itself and trigger runaway progress — has not materialised despite advances in large language models. The essay argues that predictions of sudden, self-accelerating AI capability gains have so far not matched reality, a critique likely to draw debate among AI researchers, economists and tech commentators.
Why now: Ongoing debate over whether rapid AI progress is about to accelerate uncontrollably, with sceptics questioning key predictions.
Noah SmithOpenAIartificial intelligence
Evidence
- Where's the "Intelligence Explosion"? · anon373839 · 28
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