Centre for Economic Policy Research

Research from the Centre for Economic Policy Research argues that geopolitical risk is now directly influencing how banks lend around the world. According to the analysis, rising tensions between states are changing loan pricing, credit availability and cross-border lending decisions, meaning global finance is being restructured gradually through individual banking choices rather than through dramatic crises.

Researchers at the Centre for Economic Policy Research argue that the European Union's slow pace of innovation in frontier AI models leaves it exposed in cyber defence and undermines its goal of strategic autonomy. The piece warns that failing to innovate carries real security and economic costs, as the EU remains dependent on foreign technology in critical areas.