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election forecasters
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- 1Cook Report founder says House a 'done deal' for Democrats●Cook Political Report founder: House is a ‘done deal’ for Democrats, reclaiming Senate ‘very realistic’
Charlie Cook, founder of the Cook Political Report, said the House is a 'done deal' for Democrats and that reclaiming the Senate is 'very realistic'. His assessment of the midterm outlook suggests Republicans face an uphill battle in both chambers, adding weight to forecasts of a favorable map for the opposition party.
- 2Forecasters dismiss Democratic fears of polling 'sugar-high'▼Election forecasters don’t see polling ‘sugar-high’ Democrats fear — for now
Election forecasters are pushing back on concerns among Democrats that recent polling giving their party an advantage amounts to a temporary 'sugar-high' that will fade before election day. According to The Hill, the models and analysts tracking the races do not currently reflect the pullback Democrats worry about, though they caution the picture could still shift as the vote approaches.
- 3
Republicans' prospects heading into the elections have deteriorated further, with Axios describing the party's outlook as going from bad to "craptastic". The term signals a sharply negative assessment of GOP chances, though the reporting offers no detail on which races or polling moved the picture. Commentators are likely weighing in on what the worsening forecast means for the party's strategy.